The expert models about COVID-19 have been wrong again and again. Initially estimating 2 Million American deaths with social distancing measures in place, the IHME models have since been drastically revised many times to now estimate 80,000 American deaths.
While COVID-19 is a serious virus that has already killed tens of thousands of Americans, data show that the overwhelming majority of people do NOT have a significant risk of dying from COVID-19.
The recent Stanford antibody study estimates the fatality rate between 0.1 and 0.2 percent, 20 to 30 times lower than estimates that motivated lock downs.
The vast majority of these fatalities (99.2%) have an underlying illness. The heavy losses in places like NY City, where people are racked, stacked and packed together. I worked and visited NY City a number of times totaling about a year on projects. Not a place that I would want to live.
And based on a data analysis of the N.Y. area, young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.
Meanwhile, due to the COVID-19 response, many important preventative health care measures have been canceled, unemployment (30 million) is soaring to Great Depression levels, and the Third World is at risk of massive famines — famines that, according to the U.N., could kill hundreds of millions of people.
So, wash your hands, wear a mask, and if I'm still around when the COVID-Crazy is over, expect a few "Told YA's!" coming from me.
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